The Little Book Legacy — from Graham via Greenblatt to Carlisle
Chapter 1 of 13 · 12 min
Tobias Carlisle is the stock analyst's unlikely hero: an Australian acquisition and dispute-resolution lawyer who read Graham's Security Analysis at the law library, left the legal career and founded Acquirers Funds in Menlo Park. Before The Acquirer's Multiple (2018) he wrote Deep Value (2014) and co-authored Quantitative Value (2012) with Wesley Gray. The course begins with the legacy that gave birth to the valuation multiple's one-man enterprise.
The family tree, cited openly. Benjamin Graham taught the statistical find: buy groups of companies that are cheap on simple measures — net-nets below liquidation value, P/E under ten — and let breadth, not brilliance, carry the result. Joel Greenblatt took the legacy into the data age with The Little Book That Beats the Market (2005): rank the whole stock exchange on two measures — cheapness (EBIT/EV) and quality (ROIC) — buy the thirty best, hold one year, repeat.
When Gray and Carlisle in Quantitative Value backtested the magic formula against their own building blocks, one of modern value research's most important results emerged: the standalone cheapness ranking EBIT/EV performed in line with or better than the whole formula — the quality leg contributed less than expected. Cheapness, not the combination, was the engine.
The Acquirer's Multiple is the logical sequel: a whole book about ONE factor. The subtitle — How the Billionaire Contrarians of Deep Value Are Crushing the Market — promises the programme: the valuation multiple is the same one that acquirers, corporates and capitalists in the Carl Icahn bracket use when they price whole companies, not small shares of them.
The book defines the multiple, proves why it works (earnings yield, takeout logic, mean reversion), tests it in the database — and then does something most value books never do: turns the mirror around and studies the expensive side, the short side, plus the market's valuation cycle through history's bear markets.
The differentiation against the neighbouring course is the course's map image. Quantitative Value ASKS which combination of six multiples plus F-score best carries a portfolio — breadth. The Acquirer's Multiple ASKS what a single multiple really measures, why it works and when it fails — depth. Both books are from the same house (Carlisle wrote them both), but they are complementary instruments: QV is the portfolio's orchestra, AM is the soloist.
In AK1A's world: the QV course built the V04–V06 composite; this course dissects the most robust member of the V06 family — EV/EBIT — until it is no longer a screen row but a philosophy.